Finally, delaying the liberal conceit of the first tranche of campaigning, the Filmusprogresismo understood pain, election that space is organized porteño FPV Cris-ti -na and nobody else.
spent in Catamarca, Chubut, happens in Sante Fe, Cordoba, Mendoza, throughout the country, why would not happen in the Autonomous City, eh! So special is the porteñaje?
No, never was, and as we noted in Ramble often in the new autonomous city post 2001 crisis and after the process starts Nestor in 2003 with 7% average annual growth and depletion sustained on district Buenos Aires, it is much less.
electoral representation City is dynamic, we have sustained. Ceased to be represented by the radicalism in the nineties, and can not be represented by the progressive (typical of the late twentieth century and the pre-crisis) in the XXI century. Its expansive demand conurbation populist representation formats realize their growing social heterogeneity.
The first innovation towards new forms of electoral representation was the PRO in 2007, after a typical vertebrate training conservative populist leadership, literally demolished in elections earlier progressivism, and gradually during the sultry management be deconstructed as populism, until becoming the dominant format of classic right. Great conceptual error PRO strategists, his misunderstanding of populism in general and of Peronism as a particular format.
required, then a new populist experience in the city that continued to acquire face of greater Buenos Aires in recent years. In this sense, citizens of Buenos Aires that supports the national government is not "Filmus, not, of course, is Boudouista, or Take, Kirchner is nothing more and nothing less, period. So, it is obvious that any candidate of the PVF, consisting scenarios finally measured As in the first round. No election or politically active there today after the old liberalism.
were humiliated by the PRO in 2007, make up and a political culture definitely abolished, whose final chapter was written by its icon of the year 90, Anibal Ibarra, giving the needy 3.28% of the vote in 2009 , not to speak of Charles Heller, a former banker and crew, other than historical, old brig panprogresista Buenos Aires (imposed as a candidate for the wrinkling of Filmus), which won the hearty 11% of votes in the year 2009 (60% obtained in the South for Peronist labor militancy).
As a gesture of recognition, perhaps, that other Carlos offered his support "cryptic" critical "by FPV, which became the sympathetic" block itself "which, as you know, like a tattered struggle for everything done and what remains to be done, the floor and ceiling, the toilet.
As we saw in the PVL in the first round, which is measured space ordering Cristina, analyze the dynamics on the ballot is the key to the election of Buenos Aires.
If you enter with 25 points that is what is expected for FPV at first, be second-round pick in another 25 points, plus one vote.
Recalling that in 2007 the child Macri won the runoff with 61% of the vote, is easy to see that the forthcoming second round, those 25 extra points to recover, the FPV should capture among independent voters, voters and electoral alternatives including, in particular, those in Buenos Aires and Buenos Aires, who and who that (ay! ay ay!) in 2007 formed part of the barrage of second round votes PRO and the filming poses a double challenge:
- already votedMacri and did
- against, veeeeeer did so against ...
In short, it seems advisable double violence exercised on the massive voter PRO second shift in 2007, proposing now that Cristina returns to dominate the city and the country - as it did in 2007 when he went to the canvas Filmus - Buenos Aires the electorate who vote as a vote against Head Government and additionally vote in favor of someone who has already rejected in those days! A bit childish, really.
inisitir not even children with Filmus, because it is the "manual Peronist electoral child" rule out the candidate who can not lead the FPV range in 2011. Manual so that only a ritualistic look-unable to tolerate the dynamic of the real, structural changes in the new city heterogeneous and largely conurbations and unrepresentable to the old progressives can insist on traditional applications, traditionally losers, too. Sad and lonely end. Everything flows.
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